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- Statistical Basis for Predicting Technological Progress: excellent paper on how easy is to forecast technological progress for some selected technologies (the main problem now being the identification of those technologies).
- Amdahl’s Law vs. Gustafson-Barsis’ Law: it contains an interesting insight on the impact of parallelization in relation to power consumption.
- Moore’s Law in Photonics: mass diffusion of photonics is nearer than anyone else could think of.
- Predicting the Path of Technological Innovation: this paper introduces a simple model that works quite well across markets.
- The Economics of Long-Term Digital Storage: comparison and forecast of the different storage technologies.
Assorted Links (Tech Laws)
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