{"id":18,"date":"2011-02-03T14:28:21","date_gmt":"2011-02-03T14:28:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/?p=18"},"modified":"2024-10-14T14:36:09","modified_gmt":"2024-10-14T12:36:09","slug":"the-future-isnt-cast-in-stone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/2011\/02\/03\/the-future-isnt-cast-in-stone\/","title":{"rendered":"Mobile Platforms: The Future isn\u2019t Cast in&nbsp;Stone"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Android is in exponential growth as shown in the next&nbsp;graph,<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.allaboutsymbian.com\/news\/item\/12538_Canalys_figures_show_Android_o.php\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-32\" title=\"Canalys figures for Worldwide smartphone shipments\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/canalys-chart-q4-20101.png\" alt=\"Canalys figures for Worldwide smartphone shipments\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/canalys-chart-q4-20101.png 600w, http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/canalys-chart-q4-20101-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">But remember, it\u2019s a platform only 2.5 years old, so let first PC-history be our&nbsp;guide:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><\/p><center>\n\n<div class=\"ngg-galleryoverview ngg-slideshow\" id=\"ngg-slideshow-f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff-16657449270\" data-gallery-id=\"f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\" style=\"max-width: 320px; max-height: 240px;\">\n\n \t<div id=\"ngg-image-0\" class=\"ngg-gallery-slideshow-image\" style=\"height:240px\">\n\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph1-1.jpg\" title data-src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph1-1.jpg\" data-thumbnail=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/thumbs\/thumbs_graph1-1.jpg\" data-image-id=\"1\" data-title=\"graph1-1\" data-description class=\"shutterset_f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\">\n\n            <img data-image-id=\"1\" title alt=\"graph1-1\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph1-1.jpg\" style=\"max-height: 220px;\">\n        <\/a>\n\n        <\/div> \n<div id=\"ngg-image-1\" class=\"ngg-gallery-slideshow-image\" style=\"height:240px\">\n\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph2-1.jpg\" title data-src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph2-1.jpg\" data-thumbnail=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/thumbs\/thumbs_graph2-1.jpg\" data-image-id=\"2\" data-title=\"graph2-1\" data-description class=\"shutterset_f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\">\n\n            <img data-image-id=\"2\" title alt=\"graph2-1\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph2-1.jpg\" style=\"max-height: 220px;\">\n        <\/a>\n\n        <\/div> \n<div id=\"ngg-image-2\" class=\"ngg-gallery-slideshow-image\" style=\"height:240px\">\n\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph3-1.jpg\" title data-src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph3-1.jpg\" data-thumbnail=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/thumbs\/thumbs_graph3-1.jpg\" data-image-id=\"3\" data-title=\"graph3-1\" data-description class=\"shutterset_f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\">\n\n            <img data-image-id=\"3\" title alt=\"graph3-1\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph3-1.jpg\" style=\"max-height: 220px;\">\n        <\/a>\n\n        <\/div> \n<div id=\"ngg-image-3\" class=\"ngg-gallery-slideshow-image\" style=\"height:240px\">\n\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph4-1.jpg\" title data-src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph4-1.jpg\" data-thumbnail=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/thumbs\/thumbs_graph4-1.jpg\" data-image-id=\"4\" data-title=\"graph4-1\" data-description class=\"shutterset_f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\">\n\n            <img data-image-id=\"4\" title alt=\"graph4-1\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph4-1.jpg\" style=\"max-height: 220px;\">\n        <\/a>\n\n        <\/div> \n<div id=\"ngg-image-4\" class=\"ngg-gallery-slideshow-image\" style=\"height:240px\">\n\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph5-1.jpg\" title data-src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph5-1.jpg\" data-thumbnail=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/thumbs\/thumbs_graph5-1.jpg\" data-image-id=\"5\" data-title=\"graph5-1\" data-description class=\"shutterset_f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\">\n\n            <img data-image-id=\"5\" title alt=\"graph5-1\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph5-1.jpg\" style=\"max-height: 220px;\">\n        <\/a>\n\n        <\/div> \n<div id=\"ngg-image-5\" class=\"ngg-gallery-slideshow-image\" style=\"height:240px\">\n\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph6-1.jpg\" title data-src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph6-1.jpg\" data-thumbnail=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/thumbs\/thumbs_graph6-1.jpg\" data-image-id=\"6\" data-title=\"graph6-1\" data-description class=\"shutterset_f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\">\n\n            <img data-image-id=\"6\" title alt=\"graph6-1\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph6-1.jpg\" style=\"max-height: 220px;\">\n        <\/a>\n\n        <\/div> \n<div id=\"ngg-image-6\" class=\"ngg-gallery-slideshow-image\" style=\"height:240px\">\n\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph7-1.jpg\" title data-src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph7-1.jpg\" data-thumbnail=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/thumbs\/thumbs_graph7-1.jpg\" data-image-id=\"7\" data-title=\"graph7-1\" data-description class=\"shutterset_f605fe8f26b760cba249c3d93412b5ff\">\n\n            <img data-image-id=\"7\" title alt=\"graph7-1\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/gallery\/pcmarketshares\/graph7-1.jpg\" style=\"max-height: 220px;\">\n        <\/a>\n\n        <\/div> \n<\/div>\n\n\n\t\t<!-- Thumbnails Link -->\n\t<div class=\"slideshowlink\" style=\"max-width: 320px;\">\n        <a href=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/2011\/02\/03\/the-future-isnt-cast-in-stone\/nggallery\/thumbnails\">[Show picture list]<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n<\/center>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">And the final result of that era of computing, summarized in the following graph showing total market share as percentages,<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-34\" title=\"PC market share through the years\" src=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/marketshare.jpg\" alt=\"PC market share through the years\" width=\"480\" height=\"309\" srcset=\"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/marketshare.jpg 480w, http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/marketshare-300x193.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">And even though <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Electronic_Prediction_Markets#Use_by_corporations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">prediction markets are being used within corporations<\/a> to peer into the future of these questions, they are of no use for making public predictions about future platform market shares due to their very low volumes and the enormous cash on the balance sheets of the tech companies involved, that is, the results would be too easy to subvert to ever be trusted.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">So beware! Keep your development options open!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Android is in exponential growth as shown in the next&nbsp;graph, But remember, it\u2019s a platform only 2.5 years old, so let first PC-history be our&nbsp;guide: &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; And the final result of that era of computing, summarized in the following graph showing total market share as percentages, And even though prediction markets are&nbsp;[\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"wp_typography_post_enhancements_disabled":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[4,3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18"}],"version-history":[{"count":22,"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1690,"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18\/revisions\/1690"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cerezo.name\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}